Conviction Framework v3.9

Know whether a stock is worth buying.
Before you buy it.

Run an 8-step conviction framework on any stock, from AAPL to BAP.

① Search any stock→② Pipeline runs in seconds→③ Get buy/hold/avoid verdict

See pricing →
app.convex.ltd/analysis/NVDA
NVDA fair value estimate on Convex: blended fair value versus current price, undervalued to overvalued

Real outcomes, not promises

Users who followed Convex's buy zones on NVDA in Q4 2024 entered an average of 11% below the 6-month high.

Global coverage, from Wall Street to Lima

AppleAAPLUS
NvidiaNVDAUS
MicrosoftMSFTUS
PalantirPLTRUS
Grab HoldingsGRABSEA
FEMSAFMXLATAM
CredicorpBAPLATAM
AunaAUNALATAM
MercadoLibreMELILATAM
ASML HoldingASMLEU
AppleAAPLUS
NvidiaNVDAUS
MicrosoftMSFTUS
PalantirPLTRUS
Grab HoldingsGRABSEA
FEMSAFMXLATAM
CredicorpBAPLATAM
AunaAUNALATAM
MercadoLibreMELILATAM
ASML HoldingASMLEU

Join 3 investors on Convex

The 8-step conviction framework

A method, not a magic box.

Watch it run on NVDA.

01

Quality screen

Altman Z-score, ROIC, debt/equity. Only profitable companies advance.

02

Classify the business

Growth, dividend, financial, or REIT. Each gets its own valuation model.

03

Read the signals

EPS revisions, technical momentum, insider activity.

04

Estimate fair value

DCF + EPS blend, sanity-checked against comparable companies.

05

Monte Carlo scenarios

10,000 simulations to model the distribution of outcomes.

06

Asymmetry

Risk vs reward ratio. We want at least 2:1 upside to downside.

07

Verdict

Strong buy, buy, hold, or avoid. Backed by every step above.

08

Buy zone

Specific entry and exit prices, not just a thumbs up.

Go deeper into the methodology

What is conviction investingHow fair value estimation worksUnderstanding buy zones

Built for the analysis you actually do

Every analysis in one verdict

NVDA runs the full pipeline: quality, fair value, scenarios, asymmetry. It ends in a buy zone with exact prices and a margin of safety, not just a rating.

NVDA buy zone on Convex: strong-buy, buy, fair-value and overvalued price ranges with margin of safety

Pro unlocks

Buy zones · Monte Carlo · Portfolio health · Alerts

Free includes 5 analyses per day. See what Pro adds.

See Pro features →

Where revenue becomes profit

Sankey diagrams trace MSFT's revenue from top-line to net income, so you see exactly where the margin leaks.

MSFT income flow Sankey on Convex, revenue to net income breakdown

Global coverage, LATAM included

NU and other LATAM names get the same depth as AAPL, not an afterthought.

NU (Nubank) fair value on Convex, LATAM coverage

We say no when the math says no

DIS got an AVOID verdict last quarter, and the buy zone math explains why.

DIS action plan and buy zone on Convex

Plans for every level of investor

Free forever, or try Investor & Pro free for 14 days · cancel anytime

Free

$0
  • 5 analyses per day
  • 1 portfolio
  • Basic verdict

Investor

$79/yr

$29 saved vs monthly

  • Unlimited analyses
  • 5 portfolios
  • 50 chat queries/day
  • AI search
  • Email support

14 days free, then billed · cancel anytime

Most popular

Pro

$159/yr

$69 saved vs monthly

  • Unlimited everything
  • Buy zones (entry + exit)
  • Monte Carlo scenarios
  • Portfolio health radar
  • Priority support

Includes 3 things Yahoo Finance doesn't: buy zones, Monte Carlo scenarios, conviction scoring

14 days free, then billed · cancel anytime

Coming soon

Enterprise

Custom
  • Custom analyses
  • Team seats
  • API access
  • SLA support

Common questions

Is Convex a broker?

No, we are an analysis tool only. We don't execute trades or hold customer money. Your broker (TD Ameritrade, IBKR, etc.) does that.

Is this financial advice?

No. Convex provides analytical output (conviction scores, fair value estimates). All investment decisions are your own.

What stocks does Convex cover?

US (NYSE, NASDAQ), plus selected international tickers including LATAM (BAP, AUNA, FMX, MELI), Europe (ASML), and SEA (GRAB). About 7,500 tickers total.

How does the 8-step conviction framework work?

Quality → Classify → Signals → Fair Value → Scenarios → Asymmetry → Verdict → Buy Zone. Each step has a published methodology.

What payment methods do you accept?

Stripe processes payments. We accept Visa, Mastercard, Amex, Discover, and Apple/Google Pay. All payment data is handled by Stripe; we never see your card number.

What's the difference between Investor and Pro?

Investor includes unlimited analyses, 5 portfolios, 50 chat queries/day. Pro adds buy zones, Monte Carlo scenarios, portfolio health radar, price alerts, and unlimited chat.

Can I cancel anytime?

Yes. Cancel from your account settings; you keep access until the end of your billing period. No retention calls, no friction.

Do you cover LATAM stocks like BAP and AUNA?

Yes. Convex was built in Lima, Peru. LATAM coverage is a first-class feature, not an afterthought.

Stop guessing.

Start free today. Upgrade whenever you're ready.

Free includes 5 analyses/day · join 3 investors on Convex

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