FLEETCOR Technologies, Inc. (FLT) Stock Analysis
Score ACompounder · Grade C · Unknown
$303.26
$478.09
+57.7%
10/10
C
Compounder
Investment Thesis
Good opportunity: Solid company with good risk/reward at 5.4:1.
For New Investors
Quantitative score: high
For Current Holders
Quantitative score: neutral
Buy if
- Price drops 15-20% (improves asymmetry)
- Bull scenario catalysts materialize
- Market-wide correction creates opportunity
Sell if
- Bear scenario triggers occur
- Quality metrics deteriorate (ROIC declining)
- Better alternatives emerge
Valuation
Fair Value estimate: $478.09 (+57.7%). Significantly undervalued. (Methods diverge significantly. Conservative estimate shown.)
PEG-Based EPS
$176.89
FCF DCF Model
$559.80
EV/EBITDA
$606.52
Blended Fair Value
$478.09
Confidence
Low
Methods
PEG-Based EPS (conservative), FCF 2-Stage DCF, EV/EBITDA
Quality Analysis
73/120 points
Investable
ROE (3Y Avg)
29.9%
ROIC-WACC Spread
5.3%
D/E Ratio
2.1x
Current Ratio
1.0x
Interest Coverage
5x
FCF Positive Years
3/3
Quality Flags
- ROIC spread: 5.3pp (got 13/25 pts)
- Leverage: D/E 2.1x (0/15 pts)
- Volatile gross margins: std dev 38.7pp (need <3.0pp)
Market Sentiment
Wall Street Consensus
$295.00
-2.7% Upside
Range: $254.00 — $335.00
Analyst consensus data not available.
Trend & Technical
Insufficient data to calculate SMA 200.
Technical analysis unavailable
Risk & Reward
Asymmetry Ratio
5.37:1
Expected Return
+26.7%
Bull Upside
+53.7%
Bear Downside
-10.0%
Excellent asymmetry: 5.37:1 ratio. Upside significantly outweighs downside.
Verdict: Very Favorable
Scenario Analysis
Bear
Base
Bull
Buy Zone & Action Plan
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AI Executive Summary
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Technical Analysis
RSI, MACD, moving averages, trend signals, and momentum indicators.
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Frequently Asked Questions
What is the fair value of FLT?
Based on our multi-method conviction analysis, the estimated fair value of FLEETCOR Technologies, Inc. (FLT) is $478.09. This is calculated by blending PEG-Based EPS (conservative), FCF 2-Stage DCF, EV/EBITDA and applying a quality premium of 0% based on the company's fundamentals. The confidence level of this estimate is low.
Is FLT a buy, sell, or hold?
FLT currently has a BUY rating with a conviction score of 10/10. Good opportunity: Solid company with good risk/reward at 5.4:1. Quantitative score: high.
Is FLT a high-quality stock?
FLEETCOR Technologies, Inc. has a quality grade of C (73/120 points), rated as Investable. Key metrics include ROE of 29.9%, ROIC-WACC spread of 5.3%, and D/E ratio of 2.1x.
What type of stock is FLT?
FLT is classified as a "compounder" in our framework. Low dividend (reinvesting): 0.0%, High debt: D/E 2.1x, Moderate growth: 12.5%, Compounder growth range: 12.5%, High ROE (compounder): 30.6%
What do Wall Street analysts say about FLT?
Multiple Wall Street analysts have a consensus price target of $295.00 for FLT, representing -2.7% upside. Targets range from $254.00 to $335.00. The consensus recommendation is "—". Analyst consensus data not available.
What are the risks of investing in FLT?
The risk/reward asymmetry ratio for FLT is 5.37:1, rated as Very Favorable. Excellent asymmetry: 5.37:1 ratio. Upside significantly outweighs downside. The expected return is +26.7%, with bull case upside of +53.7% and bear case downside of -10.0%.
What is the current trend for FLT?
FLT is in a unknown trend. Insufficient data to calculate SMA 200. The technical score is —/100.
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Last updated: May 19, 2026 · Framework version 3.7
This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always do your own research before making investment decisions.