$95.85
$124.60
+30.0%
9/10
B
Cyclical
Investment Thesis
Good opportunity: Solid company with good risk/reward at 2.8:1.
For New Investors
Quantitative score: high
For Current Holders
Quantitative score: neutral
Buy if
- Price drops 15-20% (improves asymmetry)
- Bull scenario catalysts materialize
- Market-wide correction creates opportunity
Sell if
- Bear scenario triggers occur
- Quality metrics deteriorate (ROIC declining)
- Better alternatives emerge
Valuation
Fair Value estimate: $124.60 (+30.0%). Significantly undervalued.
PEG-Based EPS
$124.60
FCF DCF Model
$124.60
Blended Fair Value
$124.60
Confidence
High
Methods
PEG-Based EPS, FCF 2-Stage DCF
Quality Analysis
75/120 points
Investable
ROE (3Y Avg)
-55.6%
ROIC-WACC Spread
20.5%
D/E Ratio
6.3x
Current Ratio
1.4x
Interest Coverage
6x
FCF Positive Years
3/3
Quality Flags
- Low ROE: -55.6% (need >15%, got 0/20 pts)
- Leverage: D/E 6.3x (0/15 pts)
- Volatile gross margins: std dev 5.2pp (need <5.0pp)
Market Sentiment
Wall Street Consensus
$112.00
+16.9% Upside
15 analysts
Range: $99.00 — $123.00
Rating: Buy
Our model aligns with Wall Street consensus.
Trend & Technical
Price ($96.66) is 13.8% above SMA 200 ($84.91). Bullish trend confirmed.
Tech Score 78/100 — Strong technical setup. Trend, momentum, and positioning aligned bullish.
Risk & Reward
Asymmetry Ratio
2.76:1
Expected Return
+21.7%
Bull Upside
+62.1%
Bear Downside
-22.5%
Good asymmetry: 2.76:1 ratio. Upside justifies risk.
Verdict: Favorable
Scenario Analysis
Bear
Base
Bull
Buy Zone & Action Plan
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AI Executive Summary
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Technical Analysis
RSI, MACD, moving averages, trend signals, and momentum indicators.
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Frequently Asked Questions
What is the fair value of HAS?
Based on our multi-method conviction analysis, the estimated fair value of Hasbro, Inc. (HAS) is $124.60. This is calculated by blending PEG-Based EPS, FCF 2-Stage DCF and applying a quality premium of 0% based on the company's fundamentals. The confidence level of this estimate is high.
Is HAS a buy, sell, or hold?
HAS currently has a BUY rating with a conviction score of 9/10. Good opportunity: Solid company with good risk/reward at 2.8:1. Quantitative score: high.
Is HAS a high-quality stock?
Hasbro, Inc. has a quality grade of B (75/120 points), rated as Investable. Key metrics include ROE of -55.6%, ROIC-WACC spread of 20.5%, and D/E ratio of 6.3x.
What type of stock is HAS?
HAS is classified as a "cyclical" in our framework. Mature growth: -7.4%, High debt: D/E 6.3x, Cyclical sector: Consumer Cyclical, Dividend paying: 2.9%, Consistent FCF: 3/3 years positive
What do Wall Street analysts say about HAS?
15 Wall Street analysts have a consensus price target of $112.00 for HAS, representing +16.9% upside. Targets range from $99.00 to $123.00. The consensus recommendation is "Buy". Our model aligns with Wall Street consensus.
What are the risks of investing in HAS?
The risk/reward asymmetry ratio for HAS is 2.76:1, rated as Favorable. Good asymmetry: 2.76:1 ratio. Upside justifies risk. The expected return is +21.7%, with bull case upside of +62.1% and bear case downside of -22.5%.
What is the current trend for HAS?
HAS is in a bullish trend. Price ($96.66) is 13.8% above SMA 200 ($84.91). Bullish trend confirmed. The technical score is 78/100.
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Last updated: May 19, 2026 · Framework version 3.7
This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always do your own research before making investment decisions.