Charter Communications, Inc. (CHTR) Stock Analysis
Score BValue · Grade D · Bearish
$141.48
$212.21
+50.0%
9/10
D
Value
Investment Thesis
Price is above modeled value range. Quality supports holding but not attractive for new positions.
Appears undervalued but quality concerns keep the score lower.
For New Investors
Price above modeled value range
For Current Holders
Quantitative score: neutral
Buy if
- Price drops 15-20% (improves asymmetry)
- Bull scenario catalysts materialize
- Market-wide correction creates opportunity
Sell if
- Bear scenario triggers occur
- Quality metrics deteriorate (ROIC declining)
- Better alternatives emerge
Valuation
Fair Value estimate: $212.21 (+50.0%). Significantly undervalued.
PEG-Based EPS
$212.21
FCF DCF Model
$212.21
EV/EBITDA
$212.21
Blended Fair Value
$212.21
Confidence
High
Methods
PEG-Based EPS, FCF 2-Stage DCF, EV/EBITDA
Quality Analysis
58/120 points
Low Quality
ROE (3Y Avg)
34.9%
ROIC-WACC Spread
2.0%
D/E Ratio
6.0x
Current Ratio
0.4x
Interest Coverage
3x
FCF Positive Years
3/3
Quality Flags
- ROIC spread: 2.0pp (got 5/25 pts)
- Leverage: D/E 6.0x (0/15 pts)
- Interest coverage: 2.6x (8/10 pts)
- Liquidity: Current Ratio 0.39 (0/10 pts)
Market Sentiment
Wall Street Consensus
$217.50
+53.7% Upside
16 analysts
Range: $160.00 — $437.00
Rating: Hold
Our model aligns with Wall Street consensus.
Trend & Technical
Price ($141.30) is 37.2% below SMA 200 ($224.85). Bearish trend. Caution on entry.
Tech Score 26/100 — FALLING KNIFE. Extreme oversold in bearish trend. High risk — wait for stabilization.
Risk & Reward
Asymmetry Ratio
2.82:1
Expected Return
+12.5%
Bull Upside
+37.7%
Bear Downside
-13.4%
Good asymmetry: 2.82:1 ratio. Upside justifies risk.
Verdict: Favorable
Scenario Analysis
Bear
Base
Bull
Buy Zone & Action Plan
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AI Executive Summary
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Technical Analysis
RSI, MACD, moving averages, trend signals, and momentum indicators.
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Frequently Asked Questions
What is the fair value of CHTR?
Based on our multi-method conviction analysis, the estimated fair value of Charter Communications, Inc. (CHTR) is $212.21. This is calculated by blending PEG-Based EPS, FCF 2-Stage DCF, EV/EBITDA and applying a quality premium of 0% based on the company's fundamentals. The confidence level of this estimate is high.
Is CHTR a buy, sell, or hold?
CHTR currently has a HOLD rating with a conviction score of 9/10. Price is above modeled value range. Quality supports holding but not attractive for new positions. Price above modeled value range.
Is CHTR a high-quality stock?
Charter Communications, Inc. has a quality grade of D (58/120 points), rated as Low Quality. Key metrics include ROE of 34.9%, ROIC-WACC spread of 2.0%, and D/E ratio of 6.0x.
What type of stock is CHTR?
CHTR is classified as a "value" in our framework. Low dividend (reinvesting): 0.0%, Low P/E: 3.8x, High FCF Yield: 25.4%, Mature growth: 6.6%, High debt: D/E 6.0x
What do Wall Street analysts say about CHTR?
16 Wall Street analysts have a consensus price target of $217.50 for CHTR, representing +53.7% upside. Targets range from $160.00 to $437.00. The consensus recommendation is "Hold". Our model aligns with Wall Street consensus.
What are the risks of investing in CHTR?
The risk/reward asymmetry ratio for CHTR is 2.82:1, rated as Favorable. Good asymmetry: 2.82:1 ratio. Upside justifies risk. The expected return is +12.5%, with bull case upside of +37.7% and bear case downside of -13.4%.
What is the current trend for CHTR?
CHTR is in a bearish trend. Price ($141.30) is 37.2% below SMA 200 ($224.85). Bearish trend. Caution on entry. The technical score is 26/100.
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Last updated: May 19, 2026 · Framework version 3.7
This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always do your own research before making investment decisions.