AT&T Inc. (T) Stock Analysis
Score AValue · Grade C · Bullish
$28.34
$36.78
+29.8%
10/10
C
Value
Investment Thesis
Good opportunity: Solid company with good risk/reward at 10.0:1.
For New Investors
Quantitative score: high
For Current Holders
Quantitative score: neutral
Buy if
- Price drops 15-20% (improves asymmetry)
- Bull scenario catalysts materialize
- Market-wide correction creates opportunity
Sell if
- Bear scenario triggers occur
- Quality metrics deteriorate (ROIC declining)
- Better alternatives emerge
Valuation
Fair Value estimate: $36.78 (+29.8%). Significantly undervalued.
PEG-Based EPS
$35.56
FCF DCF Model
$36.84
EV/EBITDA
$36.84
Blended Fair Value
$36.78
Confidence
High
Methods
PEG-Based EPS, FCF 2-Stage DCF, EV/EBITDA
Quality Analysis
62/120 points
Investable
ROE (3Y Avg)
14.7%
ROIC-WACC Spread
0.3%
D/E Ratio
1.6x
Current Ratio
0.9x
Interest Coverage
4x
FCF Positive Years
3/3
Quality Flags
- ROIC spread: 0.3pp (got 1/25 pts)
- Leverage: D/E 1.6x (3/15 pts)
- Liquidity: Current Ratio 0.91 (8/10 pts)
- Volatile gross margins: std dev 14.9pp (need <5.0pp)
Market Sentiment
Wall Street Consensus
$29.75
+5.0% Upside
23 analysts
Range: $20.00 — $33.00
Rating: Buy
Our model aligns with Wall Street consensus.
Trend & Technical
Price ($28.31) is 7.0% above SMA 200 ($26.45). Bullish trend confirmed.
Tech Score 83/100 — Strong technical setup. Trend, momentum, and positioning aligned bullish.
Risk & Reward
Asymmetry Ratio
10.00:1
Expected Return
+63.6%
Bull Upside
+134.4%
Bear Downside
-10.0%
Excellent asymmetry: >3:1 ratio. Upside significantly outweighs downside.
Verdict: Very Favorable
Scenario Analysis
Bear
Base
Bull
Buy Zone & Action Plan
See exact entry zones, stop-loss levels, and a personalized action plan.
AI Executive Summary
Get a detailed AI-written breakdown of the investment thesis, risks, and catalysts.
Technical Analysis
RSI, MACD, moving averages, trend signals, and momentum indicators.
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Frequently Asked Questions
What is the fair value of T?
Based on our multi-method conviction analysis, the estimated fair value of AT&T Inc. (T) is $36.78. This is calculated by blending PEG-Based EPS, FCF 2-Stage DCF, EV/EBITDA and applying a quality premium of 0% based on the company's fundamentals. The confidence level of this estimate is high.
Is T a buy, sell, or hold?
T currently has a BUY rating with a conviction score of 10/10. Good opportunity: Solid company with good risk/reward at 10.0:1. Quantitative score: high.
Is T a high-quality stock?
AT&T Inc. has a quality grade of C (62/120 points), rated as Investable. Key metrics include ROE of 14.7%, ROIC-WACC spread of 0.3%, and D/E ratio of 1.6x.
What type of stock is T?
T is classified as a "value" in our framework. Low P/E: 9.3x, High FCF Yield: 9.7%, High dividend: 3.9%, Mature growth: 1.3%, High debt: D/E 1.6x
What do Wall Street analysts say about T?
23 Wall Street analysts have a consensus price target of $29.75 for T, representing +5.0% upside. Targets range from $20.00 to $33.00. The consensus recommendation is "Buy". Our model aligns with Wall Street consensus.
What are the risks of investing in T?
The risk/reward asymmetry ratio for T is 10.00:1, rated as Very Favorable. Excellent asymmetry: >3:1 ratio. Upside significantly outweighs downside. The expected return is +63.6%, with bull case upside of +134.4% and bear case downside of -10.0%.
What is the current trend for T?
T is in a bullish trend. Price ($28.31) is 7.0% above SMA 200 ($26.45). Bullish trend confirmed. The technical score is 83/100.
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Last updated: March 23, 2026 · Framework version 3.7
This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always do your own research before making investment decisions.