Verisk Analytics, Inc. (VRSK) Stock Analysis
Score A+Compounder · Grade A · Bearish
$171.28
$287.53
+67.9%
10/10
A
Compounder
Investment Thesis
High quantitative score: Solid company with strong risk/reward at 8.9:1.
For New Investors
Quantitative score: high
For Current Holders
Quantitative score: neutral
Buy if
- Price drops 15-20% (improves asymmetry)
- Bull scenario catalysts materialize
- Market-wide correction creates opportunity
Sell if
- Bear scenario triggers occur
- Quality metrics deteriorate (ROIC declining)
- Better alternatives emerge
Valuation
Fair Value estimate: $287.53 (+67.9%). Significantly undervalued.
PEG-Based EPS
$308.30
FCF DCF Model
$308.30
EV/EBITDA
$248.97
Blended Fair Value
$287.53
Confidence
High
Methods
PEG-Based EPS, FCF 2-Stage DCF, EV/EBITDA
Quality Analysis
100/120 points
Investable
ROE (3Y Avg)
482.9%
ROIC-WACC Spread
25.0%
D/E Ratio
16.3x
Current Ratio
1.2x
Interest Coverage
8x
FCF Positive Years
3/3
Quality Flags
- Leverage: D/E 16.3x (0/15 pts)
Market Sentiment
Wall Street Consensus
$227.00
+32.5% Upside
17 analysts
Range: $223.00 — $260.00
Rating: Buy
Our model is slightly more bullish than Wall Street.
Trend & Technical
Price ($171.25) is 21.0% below SMA 200 ($216.71). Bearish trend. Caution on entry.
Tech Score 34/100 — Weak technicals. Bearish bias in trend or momentum.
Risk & Reward
Asymmetry Ratio
8.86:1
Expected Return
+55.0%
Bull Upside
+88.6%
Bear Downside
-10.0%
Excellent asymmetry: 8.86:1 ratio. Upside significantly outweighs downside.
Verdict: Very Favorable
Scenario Analysis
Bear
Base
Bull
Buy Zone & Action Plan
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AI Executive Summary
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Technical Analysis
RSI, MACD, moving averages, trend signals, and momentum indicators.
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Frequently Asked Questions
What is the fair value of VRSK?
Based on our multi-method conviction analysis, the estimated fair value of Verisk Analytics, Inc. (VRSK) is $287.53. This is calculated by blending PEG-Based EPS, FCF 2-Stage DCF, EV/EBITDA and applying a quality premium of 0% based on the company's fundamentals. The confidence level of this estimate is high.
Is VRSK a buy, sell, or hold?
VRSK currently has a STRONG_BUY rating with a conviction score of 10/10. High quantitative score: Solid company with strong risk/reward at 8.9:1. Quantitative score: high.
Is VRSK a high-quality stock?
Verisk Analytics, Inc. has a quality grade of A (100/120 points), rated as Investable. Key metrics include ROE of 482.9%, ROIC-WACC spread of 25.0%, and D/E ratio of 16.3x.
What type of stock is VRSK?
VRSK is classified as a "compounder" in our framework. High P/E: 26.1x, Low dividend (reinvesting): 1.1%, High debt: D/E 16.3x, Moderate growth: 11.8%, Dividend paying: 1.1%
What do Wall Street analysts say about VRSK?
17 Wall Street analysts have a consensus price target of $227.00 for VRSK, representing +32.5% upside. Targets range from $223.00 to $260.00. The consensus recommendation is "Buy". Our model is slightly more bullish than Wall Street.
What are the risks of investing in VRSK?
The risk/reward asymmetry ratio for VRSK is 8.86:1, rated as Very Favorable. Excellent asymmetry: 8.86:1 ratio. Upside significantly outweighs downside. The expected return is +55.0%, with bull case upside of +88.6% and bear case downside of -10.0%.
What is the current trend for VRSK?
VRSK is in a bearish trend. Price ($171.25) is 21.0% below SMA 200 ($216.71). Bearish trend. Caution on entry. The technical score is 34/100.
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Last updated: May 19, 2026 · Framework version 3.7
This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always do your own research before making investment decisions.