Dover Corporation (DOV) Stock Analysis
Score AGrowth · Grade B · Bullish
$209.37
$214.06
+2.2%
10/10
B
Growth
Investment Thesis
Good opportunity: Solid company with good risk/reward at 10.0:1.
For New Investors
Quantitative score: high
For Current Holders
Quantitative score: neutral
Buy if
- Price drops 15-20% (improves asymmetry)
- Bull scenario catalysts materialize
- Market-wide correction creates opportunity
Sell if
- Bear scenario triggers occur
- Quality metrics deteriorate (ROIC declining)
- Better alternatives emerge
Valuation
Fair Value estimate: $214.06 (+2.2%). Slightly undervalued.
PEG-Based EPS
$272.18
FCF DCF Model
$180.72
EV/EBITDA
$272.18
Blended Fair Value
$214.06
Confidence
High
Methods
PEG-Based EPS, FCF 2-Stage DCF, EV/EBITDA, Revenue Multiple
Quality Analysis
81/120 points
Investable
ROE (3Y Avg)
24.8%
ROIC-WACC Spread
1.5%
D/E Ratio
0.5x
Current Ratio
1.8x
Interest Coverage
13x
FCF Positive Years
3/3
Quality Flags
- ROIC spread: 1.5pp (got 4/25 pts)
- Leverage: D/E 0.5x (12/15 pts)
Market Sentiment
Wall Street Consensus
$240.00
+14.6% Upside
21 analysts
Range: $195.00 — $279.00
Rating: Buy
Our model aligns with Wall Street consensus.
Trend & Technical
Price ($209.60) is 7.0% above SMA 200 ($195.93). Bullish trend confirmed.
Tech Score 68/100 — Neutral technical picture. Mixed signals across indicators.
Risk & Reward
Asymmetry Ratio
10.00:1
Expected Return
+40.9%
Bull Upside
+108.1%
Bear Downside
-10.0%
Excellent asymmetry: >3:1 ratio. Upside significantly outweighs downside.
Verdict: Very Favorable
Scenario Analysis
Bear
Base
Bull
Buy Zone & Action Plan
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AI Executive Summary
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Technical Analysis
RSI, MACD, moving averages, trend signals, and momentum indicators.
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Frequently Asked Questions
What is the fair value of DOV?
Based on our multi-method conviction analysis, the estimated fair value of Dover Corporation (DOV) is $214.06. This is calculated by blending PEG-Based EPS, FCF 2-Stage DCF, EV/EBITDA, Revenue Multiple and applying a quality premium of 0% based on the company's fundamentals. The confidence level of this estimate is high.
Is DOV a buy, sell, or hold?
DOV currently has a BUY rating with a conviction score of 10/10. Good opportunity: Solid company with good risk/reward at 10.0:1. Quantitative score: high.
Is DOV a high-quality stock?
Dover Corporation has a quality grade of B (81/120 points), rated as Investable. Key metrics include ROE of 24.8%, ROIC-WACC spread of 1.5%, and D/E ratio of 0.5x.
What type of stock is DOV?
DOV is classified as a "growth" in our framework. High P/E: 26.2x, Low dividend (reinvesting): 1.0%, Mature growth: 2.4%, Cyclical sector: Industrials, Consistent FCF: 3/3 years positive
What do Wall Street analysts say about DOV?
21 Wall Street analysts have a consensus price target of $240.00 for DOV, representing +14.6% upside. Targets range from $195.00 to $279.00. The consensus recommendation is "Buy". Our model aligns with Wall Street consensus.
What are the risks of investing in DOV?
The risk/reward asymmetry ratio for DOV is 10.00:1, rated as Very Favorable. Excellent asymmetry: >3:1 ratio. Upside significantly outweighs downside. The expected return is +40.9%, with bull case upside of +108.1% and bear case downside of -10.0%.
What is the current trend for DOV?
DOV is in a bullish trend. Price ($209.60) is 7.0% above SMA 200 ($195.93). Bullish trend confirmed. The technical score is 68/100.
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Last updated: May 19, 2026 · Framework version 3.7
This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always do your own research before making investment decisions.