Evergy, Inc. (EVRG) Stock Analysis
Score DValue · Grade F · Unknown
$82.83
$59.08
-28.7%
0/10
F
Value
Investment Thesis
Low quantitative score: Low quality, stretched valuation, or poor risk/reward.
For New Investors
Quantitative score: weak
For Current Holders
Quantitative score: low
Buy if
- Price drops 15-20% (improves asymmetry)
- Bull scenario catalysts materialize
- Market-wide correction creates opportunity
Sell if
- Bear scenario triggers occur
- Quality metrics deteriorate (ROIC declining)
- Better alternatives emerge
Valuation
Fair Value estimate: $59.08 (-28.7%). Overvalued vs fundamentals.
PEG-Based EPS
$63.52
FCF DCF Model
$70.07
EV/EBITDA
$45.90
Blended Fair Value
$59.08
Confidence
High
Methods
PEG-Based EPS, FCF 2-Stage DCF, EV/EBITDA
Quality Analysis
36/120 points
Low Quality
ROE (3Y Avg)
8.2%
ROIC-WACC Spread
-0.7%
D/E Ratio
1.5x
Current Ratio
0.5x
Interest Coverage
2x
FCF Positive Years
0/3
Quality Flags
- Low ROE: 8.2% (need >9%, got 17/20 pts)
- ROIC spread: -0.7pp (got 0/25 pts)
- FCF positive only 0/3 years (0/20 pts)
- Leverage: D/E 1.5x (7/15 pts)
- Interest coverage: 2.4x (7/10 pts)
- Liquidity: Current Ratio 0.49 (0/10 pts)
Market Sentiment
Wall Street Consensus
$89.00
+7.4% Upside
12 analysts
Range: $82.00 — $99.00
Rating: Buy
Our model is more cautious than Wall Street.
Trend & Technical
Insufficient data to calculate SMA 200.
Technical analysis unavailable
Risk & Reward
Asymmetry Ratio
1.95:1
Expected Return
+2.6%
Bull Upside
+36.6%
Bear Downside
-18.8%
Moderate asymmetry: 1.95:1 ratio. Balanced risk/reward.
Verdict: Neutral
Scenario Analysis
Bear
Base
Bull
Buy Zone & Action Plan
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AI Executive Summary
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Technical Analysis
RSI, MACD, moving averages, trend signals, and momentum indicators.
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Frequently Asked Questions
What is the fair value of EVRG?
Based on our multi-method conviction analysis, the estimated fair value of Evergy, Inc. (EVRG) is $59.08. This is calculated by blending PEG-Based EPS, FCF 2-Stage DCF, EV/EBITDA and applying a quality premium of 0% based on the company's fundamentals. The confidence level of this estimate is high.
Is EVRG a buy, sell, or hold?
EVRG currently has a AVOID rating with a conviction score of 0/10. Low quantitative score: Low quality, stretched valuation, or poor risk/reward. Quantitative score: weak.
Is EVRG a high-quality stock?
Evergy, Inc. has a quality grade of F (36/120 points), rated as Low Quality. Key metrics include ROE of 8.2%, ROIC-WACC spread of -0.7%, and D/E ratio of 1.5x.
What type of stock is EVRG?
EVRG is classified as a "value" in our framework. High dividend: 3.3%, Mature growth: 0.3%, High debt: D/E 1.5x, Dividend paying: 3.3%, Consistent FCF: 3/3 years positive
What do Wall Street analysts say about EVRG?
12 Wall Street analysts have a consensus price target of $89.00 for EVRG, representing +7.4% upside. Targets range from $82.00 to $99.00. The consensus recommendation is "Buy". Our model is more cautious than Wall Street.
What are the risks of investing in EVRG?
The risk/reward asymmetry ratio for EVRG is 1.95:1, rated as Neutral. Moderate asymmetry: 1.95:1 ratio. Balanced risk/reward. The expected return is +2.6%, with bull case upside of +36.6% and bear case downside of -18.8%.
What is the current trend for EVRG?
EVRG is in a unknown trend. Insufficient data to calculate SMA 200. The technical score is —/100.
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Last updated: May 19, 2026 · Framework version 3.7
This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always do your own research before making investment decisions.