Jabil Inc. (JBL) Stock Analysis
Score ACompounder · Grade B · Bullish
$332.52
$338.07
+1.7%
10/10
B
Compounder
Investment Thesis
Good opportunity: Solid company with good risk/reward at 5.6:1.
For New Investors
Quantitative score: high
For Current Holders
Quantitative score: neutral
Buy if
- Price drops 15-20% (improves asymmetry)
- Bull scenario catalysts materialize
- Market-wide correction creates opportunity
Sell if
- Bear scenario triggers occur
- Quality metrics deteriorate (ROIC declining)
- Better alternatives emerge
Valuation
Fair Value estimate: $338.07 (+1.7%). Slightly undervalued.
PEG-Based EPS
$432.28
FCF DCF Model
$327.42
EV/EBITDA
$340.95
Blended Fair Value
$338.07
Confidence
High
Methods
PEG-Based EPS, FCF 2-Stage DCF, EV/EBITDA
Quality Analysis
87/120 points
Investable
ROE (3Y Avg)
50.6%
ROIC-WACC Spread
8.9%
D/E Ratio
2.2x
Current Ratio
1.0x
Interest Coverage
5x
FCF Positive Years
3/3
Quality Flags
- ROIC spread: 8.9pp (got 22/25 pts)
- Leverage: D/E 2.2x (0/15 pts)
Market Sentiment
Wall Street Consensus
$282.00
-15.2% Upside
9 analysts
Range: $254.00 — $283.00
Rating: none
Our model is slightly more bullish than Wall Street.
Trend & Technical
Price ($334.25) is 36.8% above SMA 200 ($244.40). Bullish trend confirmed.
Tech Score 78/100 — Strong technical setup. Trend, momentum, and positioning aligned bullish.
Risk & Reward
Asymmetry Ratio
5.62:1
Expected Return
+20.6%
Bull Upside
+56.2%
Bear Downside
-10.0%
Excellent asymmetry: 5.62:1 ratio. Upside significantly outweighs downside.
Verdict: Very Favorable
Scenario Analysis
Bear
Base
Bull
Buy Zone & Action Plan
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AI Executive Summary
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Technical Analysis
RSI, MACD, moving averages, trend signals, and momentum indicators.
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Frequently Asked Questions
What is the fair value of JBL?
Based on our multi-method conviction analysis, the estimated fair value of Jabil Inc. (JBL) is $338.07. This is calculated by blending PEG-Based EPS, FCF 2-Stage DCF, EV/EBITDA and applying a quality premium of 0% based on the company's fundamentals. The confidence level of this estimate is high.
Is JBL a buy, sell, or hold?
JBL currently has a BUY rating with a conviction score of 10/10. Good opportunity: Solid company with good risk/reward at 5.6:1. Quantitative score: high.
Is JBL a high-quality stock?
Jabil Inc. has a quality grade of B (87/120 points), rated as Investable. Key metrics include ROE of 50.6%, ROIC-WACC spread of 8.9%, and D/E ratio of 2.2x.
What type of stock is JBL?
JBL is classified as a "compounder" in our framework. High P/E: 45.0x, Low dividend (reinvesting): 0.1%, Mature growth: 4.7%, High debt: D/E 2.2x, High ROE (compounder): 59.0%
What do Wall Street analysts say about JBL?
9 Wall Street analysts have a consensus price target of $282.00 for JBL, representing -15.2% upside. Targets range from $254.00 to $283.00. The consensus recommendation is "none". Our model is slightly more bullish than Wall Street.
What are the risks of investing in JBL?
The risk/reward asymmetry ratio for JBL is 5.62:1, rated as Very Favorable. Excellent asymmetry: 5.62:1 ratio. Upside significantly outweighs downside. The expected return is +20.6%, with bull case upside of +56.2% and bear case downside of -10.0%.
What is the current trend for JBL?
JBL is in a bullish trend. Price ($334.25) is 36.8% above SMA 200 ($244.40). Bullish trend confirmed. The technical score is 78/100.
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Last updated: May 19, 2026 · Framework version 3.7
This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always do your own research before making investment decisions.