Marsh & McLennan Companies, Inc. (MMC) Stock Analysis
Score DFinancial · Grade A · Unknown
$182.70
$130.74
-28.4%
3/10
A
Financial
Investment Thesis
Low quantitative score: Low quality, stretched valuation, or poor risk/reward.
For New Investors
Quantitative score: weak
For Current Holders
Quantitative score: low
Buy if
- Price drops 15-20% (improves asymmetry)
- Bull scenario catalysts materialize
- Market-wide correction creates opportunity
Sell if
- Bear scenario triggers occur
- Quality metrics deteriorate (ROIC declining)
- Better alternatives emerge
Valuation
Fair Value estimate: $130.74 (-28.4%). Overvalued vs fundamentals.
PEG-Based EPS
$94.56
FCF DCF Model
$138.93
Blended Fair Value
$130.74
Confidence
High
Methods
P/B Relative, P/E Relative
Quality Analysis
95/120 points
Investable
ROE (3Y Avg)
259.9%
ROIC-WACC Spread
3.1%
D/E Ratio
37.0x
Current Ratio
1.1x
Interest Coverage
6x
FCF Positive Years
3/3
Quality Flags
- Financial sector: alternative quality assessment applied
- Strong ROE: 259.9%
- Excellent efficiency
Market Sentiment
Wall Street Consensus
$204.00
+11.7% Upside
Range: $190.00 — $236.00
Analyst consensus data not available.
Trend & Technical
Insufficient data to calculate SMA 200.
Technical analysis unavailable
Risk & Reward
Asymmetry Ratio
0.72:1
Expected Return
-1.1%
Bull Upside
+13.6%
Bear Downside
-18.8%
Poor asymmetry: 0.72:1 ratio. Risk exceeds potential reward.
Verdict: Unfavorable
Scenario Analysis
Bear
Base
Bull
Buy Zone & Action Plan
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AI Executive Summary
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Technical Analysis
RSI, MACD, moving averages, trend signals, and momentum indicators.
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Frequently Asked Questions
What is the fair value of MMC?
Based on our multi-method conviction analysis, the estimated fair value of Marsh & McLennan Companies, Inc. (MMC) is $130.74. This is calculated by blending P/B Relative, P/E Relative and applying a quality premium of 0% based on the company's fundamentals. The confidence level of this estimate is high.
Is MMC a buy, sell, or hold?
MMC currently has a AVOID rating with a conviction score of 3/10. Low quantitative score: Low quality, stretched valuation, or poor risk/reward. Quantitative score: weak.
Is MMC a high-quality stock?
Marsh & McLennan Companies, Inc. has a quality grade of A (95/120 points), rated as Investable. Key metrics include ROE of 259.9%, ROIC-WACC spread of 3.1%, and D/E ratio of 37.0x.
What type of stock is MMC?
MMC is classified as a "financial" in our framework. Financial sector override: Financial Services
What do Wall Street analysts say about MMC?
Multiple Wall Street analysts have a consensus price target of $204.00 for MMC, representing +11.7% upside. Targets range from $190.00 to $236.00. The consensus recommendation is "—". Analyst consensus data not available.
What are the risks of investing in MMC?
The risk/reward asymmetry ratio for MMC is 0.72:1, rated as Unfavorable. Poor asymmetry: 0.72:1 ratio. Risk exceeds potential reward. The expected return is -1.1%, with bull case upside of +13.6% and bear case downside of -18.8%.
What is the current trend for MMC?
MMC is in a unknown trend. Insufficient data to calculate SMA 200. The technical score is —/100.
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Last updated: May 19, 2026 · Framework version 3.7
This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always do your own research before making investment decisions.