W. R. Berkley Corporation (WRB) Stock Analysis
Score BFinancial · Grade A · Bearish
$68.43
$72.01
+5.2%
8/10
A
Financial
Investment Thesis
Price is above modeled value range. Quality supports holding but not attractive for new positions.
Trading near modeled fair value. No strong quantitative signal.
For New Investors
Price above modeled value range
For Current Holders
Quantitative score: neutral
Buy if
- Price drops 15-20% (improves asymmetry)
- Bull scenario catalysts materialize
- Market-wide correction creates opportunity
Sell if
- Bear scenario triggers occur
- Quality metrics deteriorate (ROIC declining)
- Better alternatives emerge
Valuation
Fair Value estimate: $72.01 (+5.2%). Slightly undervalued.
PEG-Based EPS
$60.86
FCF DCF Model
$60.17
Blended Fair Value
$72.01
Confidence
High
Methods
P/B Relative, P/E Relative, Dividend Discount
Quality Analysis
107/120 points
Investable
ROE (3Y Avg)
19.3%
ROIC-WACC Spread
4.3%
D/E Ratio
0.3x
Current Ratio
1.4x
Interest Coverage
18x
FCF Positive Years
3/3
Quality Flags
- Financial sector: alternative quality assessment applied
- Strong ROE: 19.3%
- Excellent efficiency
Market Sentiment
Wall Street Consensus
$69.00
+0.8% Upside
16 analysts
Range: $64.00 — $80.00
Rating: Hold
Our model aligns with Wall Street consensus.
Trend & Technical
Price ($68.43) is 2.4% below SMA 200 ($70.11). Bearish trend. Caution on entry.
Tech Score 63/100 — Neutral technical picture. Mixed signals across indicators.
Risk & Reward
Asymmetry Ratio
0.84:1
Expected Return
+2.9%
Bull Upside
+15.2%
Bear Downside
-18.1%
Poor asymmetry: 0.84:1 ratio. Risk exceeds potential reward.
Verdict: Unfavorable
Scenario Analysis
Bear
Base
Bull
Buy Zone & Action Plan
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AI Executive Summary
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Technical Analysis
RSI, MACD, moving averages, trend signals, and momentum indicators.
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Frequently Asked Questions
What is the fair value of WRB?
Based on our multi-method conviction analysis, the estimated fair value of W. R. Berkley Corporation (WRB) is $72.01. This is calculated by blending P/B Relative, P/E Relative, Dividend Discount and applying a quality premium of 0% based on the company's fundamentals. The confidence level of this estimate is high.
Is WRB a buy, sell, or hold?
WRB currently has a HOLD rating with a conviction score of 8/10. Price is above modeled value range. Quality supports holding but not attractive for new positions. Price above modeled value range.
Is WRB a high-quality stock?
W. R. Berkley Corporation has a quality grade of A (107/120 points), rated as Investable. Key metrics include ROE of 19.3%, ROIC-WACC spread of 4.3%, and D/E ratio of 0.3x.
What type of stock is WRB?
WRB is classified as a "financial" in our framework. Financial sector override: Financial Services
What do Wall Street analysts say about WRB?
16 Wall Street analysts have a consensus price target of $69.00 for WRB, representing +0.8% upside. Targets range from $64.00 to $80.00. The consensus recommendation is "Hold". Our model aligns with Wall Street consensus.
What are the risks of investing in WRB?
The risk/reward asymmetry ratio for WRB is 0.84:1, rated as Unfavorable. Poor asymmetry: 0.84:1 ratio. Risk exceeds potential reward. The expected return is +2.9%, with bull case upside of +15.2% and bear case downside of -18.1%.
What is the current trend for WRB?
WRB is in a bearish trend. Price ($68.43) is 2.4% below SMA 200 ($70.11). Bearish trend. Caution on entry. The technical score is 63/100.
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Last updated: May 19, 2026 · Framework version 3.7
This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always do your own research before making investment decisions.