Wynn Resorts, Limited (WYNN) Stock Analysis
Score BGrowth · Grade D · Bearish
$95.74
$256.33
+167.7%
7/10
D
Growth
Investment Thesis
Price is above modeled value range. Quality supports holding but not attractive for new positions.
Appears undervalued but quality concerns keep the score lower.
For New Investors
Price above modeled value range
For Current Holders
Quantitative score: neutral
Buy if
- Price drops 15-20% (improves asymmetry)
- Bull scenario catalysts materialize
- Market-wide correction creates opportunity
Sell if
- Bear scenario triggers occur
- Quality metrics deteriorate (ROIC declining)
- Better alternatives emerge
Valuation
Fair Value estimate: $256.33 (+167.7%). Significantly undervalued.
PEG-Based EPS
$287.20
FCF DCF Model
$287.20
EV/EBITDA
$287.20
Blended Fair Value
$256.33
Confidence
High
Methods
PEG-Based EPS, FCF 2-Stage DCF, EV/EBITDA, Revenue Multiple
Quality Analysis
55/120 points
Low Quality
ROE (3Y Avg)
3.6%
ROIC-WACC Spread
-4.9%
D/E Ratio
0.5x
Current Ratio
1.6x
Interest Coverage
2x
FCF Positive Years
3/3
Quality Flags
- Low ROE: 3.6% (need >15%, got 0/20 pts)
- ROIC spread: -4.9pp (got 0/25 pts)
- Leverage: D/E 0.5x (11/15 pts)
- Interest coverage: 1.8x (4/10 pts)
- Volatile gross margins: std dev 5.5pp (need <5.0pp)
Market Sentiment
Wall Street Consensus
$140.50
+46.8% Upside
18 analysts
Range: $127.00 — $155.00
Rating: Strong Buy
Our model is more cautious than Wall Street.
Trend & Technical
Price ($95.79) is 16.3% below SMA 200 ($114.40). Bearish trend. Caution on entry.
Tech Score 41/100 — Weak technicals. Bearish bias in trend or momentum.
Risk & Reward
Asymmetry Ratio
10.00:1
Expected Return
+77.8%
Bull Upside
+168.1%
Bear Downside
-10.0%
Excellent asymmetry: >3:1 ratio. Upside significantly outweighs downside.
Verdict: Very Favorable
Scenario Analysis
Bear
Base
Bull
Buy Zone & Action Plan
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AI Executive Summary
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Technical Analysis
RSI, MACD, moving averages, trend signals, and momentum indicators.
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Frequently Asked Questions
What is the fair value of WYNN?
Based on our multi-method conviction analysis, the estimated fair value of Wynn Resorts, Limited (WYNN) is $256.33. This is calculated by blending PEG-Based EPS, FCF 2-Stage DCF, EV/EBITDA, Revenue Multiple and applying a quality premium of 0% based on the company's fundamentals. The confidence level of this estimate is high.
Is WYNN a buy, sell, or hold?
WYNN currently has a HOLD rating with a conviction score of 7/10. Price is above modeled value range. Quality supports holding but not attractive for new positions. Price above modeled value range.
Is WYNN a high-quality stock?
Wynn Resorts, Limited has a quality grade of D (55/120 points), rated as Low Quality. Key metrics include ROE of 3.6%, ROIC-WACC spread of -4.9%, and D/E ratio of 0.5x.
What type of stock is WYNN?
WYNN is classified as a "growth" in our framework. High revenue growth: 27.7%, High P/E: 27.4x, Low dividend (reinvesting): 1.0%, High revenue volatility: 35.7% std dev, Cyclical sector: Consumer Cyclical
What do Wall Street analysts say about WYNN?
18 Wall Street analysts have a consensus price target of $140.50 for WYNN, representing +46.8% upside. Targets range from $127.00 to $155.00. The consensus recommendation is "Strong Buy". Our model is more cautious than Wall Street.
What are the risks of investing in WYNN?
The risk/reward asymmetry ratio for WYNN is 10.00:1, rated as Very Favorable. Excellent asymmetry: >3:1 ratio. Upside significantly outweighs downside. The expected return is +77.8%, with bull case upside of +168.1% and bear case downside of -10.0%.
What is the current trend for WYNN?
WYNN is in a bearish trend. Price ($95.79) is 16.3% below SMA 200 ($114.40). Bearish trend. Caution on entry. The technical score is 41/100.
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Last updated: May 19, 2026 · Framework version 3.7
This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always do your own research before making investment decisions.