Blackstone Inc. (BX) Stock Analysis
Score ACompounder · Grade A · Bearish
$115.50
$168.24
+45.7%
10/10
A
Compounder
Investment Thesis
Good opportunity: Solid company with good risk/reward at 5.6:1.
For New Investors
Quantitative score: high
For Current Holders
Quantitative score: neutral
Buy if
- Price drops 15-20% (improves asymmetry)
- Bull scenario catalysts materialize
- Market-wide correction creates opportunity
Sell if
- Bear scenario triggers occur
- Quality metrics deteriorate (ROIC declining)
- Better alternatives emerge
Valuation
Fair Value estimate: $168.24 (+45.7%). Significantly undervalued.
PEG-Based EPS
$231.00
FCF DCF Model
$111.88
EV/EBITDA
$200.49
Blended Fair Value
$168.24
Confidence
Medium
Methods
PEG-Based EPS, FCF 2-Stage DCF, EV/EBITDA
Quality Analysis
110/120 points
Investable
ROE (3Y Avg)
29.7%
ROIC-WACC Spread
13.8%
D/E Ratio
1.5x
Current Ratio
0.9x
Interest Coverage
14x
FCF Positive Years
3/3
Quality Flags
- Financial sector: alternative quality assessment applied
- Strong ROE: 29.7%
- Excellent efficiency
Market Sentiment
Wall Street Consensus
$156.00
+35.1% Upside
20 analysts
Range: $130.00 — $184.00
Rating: Buy
Our model aligns with Wall Street consensus.
Trend & Technical
Price ($115.46) is 18.6% below SMA 200 ($141.80). Bearish trend. Caution on entry.
Tech Score 46/100 — Weak technicals. Bearish bias in trend or momentum.
Risk & Reward
Asymmetry Ratio
5.56:1
Expected Return
+34.5%
Bull Upside
+55.6%
Bear Downside
-10.0%
Excellent asymmetry: 5.56:1 ratio. Upside significantly outweighs downside.
Verdict: Very Favorable
Scenario Analysis
Bear
Base
Bull
Buy Zone & Action Plan
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AI Executive Summary
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Technical Analysis
RSI, MACD, moving averages, trend signals, and momentum indicators.
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Frequently Asked Questions
What is the fair value of BX?
Based on our multi-method conviction analysis, the estimated fair value of Blackstone Inc. (BX) is $168.24. This is calculated by blending PEG-Based EPS, FCF 2-Stage DCF, EV/EBITDA and applying a quality premium of 0% based on the company's fundamentals. The confidence level of this estimate is medium.
Is BX a buy, sell, or hold?
BX currently has a BUY rating with a conviction score of 10/10. Good opportunity: Solid company with good risk/reward at 5.6:1. Quantitative score: high.
Is BX a high-quality stock?
Blackstone Inc. has a quality grade of A (110/120 points), rated as Investable. Key metrics include ROE of 29.7%, ROIC-WACC spread of 13.8%, and D/E ratio of 1.5x.
What type of stock is BX?
BX is classified as a "compounder" in our framework. High revenue growth: 20.8%, High P/E: 29.6x, High dividend: 4.3%, High debt: D/E 1.5x, High revenue volatility: 45.8% std dev
What do Wall Street analysts say about BX?
20 Wall Street analysts have a consensus price target of $156.00 for BX, representing +35.1% upside. Targets range from $130.00 to $184.00. The consensus recommendation is "Buy". Our model aligns with Wall Street consensus.
What are the risks of investing in BX?
The risk/reward asymmetry ratio for BX is 5.56:1, rated as Very Favorable. Excellent asymmetry: 5.56:1 ratio. Upside significantly outweighs downside. The expected return is +34.5%, with bull case upside of +55.6% and bear case downside of -10.0%.
What is the current trend for BX?
BX is in a bearish trend. Price ($115.46) is 18.6% below SMA 200 ($141.80). Bearish trend. Caution on entry. The technical score is 46/100.
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Last updated: May 19, 2026 · Framework version 3.7
This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always do your own research before making investment decisions.