C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc. (CHRW) Stock Analysis
Score ACompounder · Grade A · Bullish
$173.29
$170.15
-1.8%
10/10
A
Compounder
Investment Thesis
Good opportunity: Solid company with good risk/reward at 10.0:1.
For New Investors
Quantitative score: high
For Current Holders
Quantitative score: neutral
Buy if
- Price drops 15-20% (improves asymmetry)
- Bull scenario catalysts materialize
- Market-wide correction creates opportunity
Sell if
- Bear scenario triggers occur
- Quality metrics deteriorate (ROIC declining)
- Better alternatives emerge
Valuation
Fair Value estimate: $170.15 (-1.8%). Approximately at fair value.
PEG-Based EPS
$72.94
FCF DCF Model
$208.52
EV/EBITDA
$132.65
Blended Fair Value
$170.15
Confidence
Medium
Methods
PEG-Based EPS, FCF 2-Stage DCF, EV/EBITDA
Quality Analysis
110/120 points
Investable
ROE (3Y Avg)
27.3%
ROIC-WACC Spread
12.4%
D/E Ratio
0.9x
Current Ratio
1.5x
Interest Coverage
13x
FCF Positive Years
3/3
Quality Flags
- Leverage: D/E 0.9x (10/15 pts)
Market Sentiment
Wall Street Consensus
$201.00
+16.0% Upside
24 analysts
Range: $90.00 — $230.00
Rating: Buy
Our model aligns with Wall Street consensus.
Trend & Technical
Price ($173.29) is 10.7% above SMA 200 ($156.58). Bullish trend confirmed.
Tech Score 78/100 — Strong technical setup. Trend, momentum, and positioning aligned bullish.
Risk & Reward
Asymmetry Ratio
10.00:1
Expected Return
+73.6%
Bull Upside
+112.3%
Bear Downside
-10.0%
Excellent asymmetry: >3:1 ratio. Upside significantly outweighs downside.
Verdict: Very Favorable
Scenario Analysis
Bear
Base
Bull
Buy Zone & Action Plan
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AI Executive Summary
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Technical Analysis
RSI, MACD, moving averages, trend signals, and momentum indicators.
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Frequently Asked Questions
What is the fair value of CHRW?
Based on our multi-method conviction analysis, the estimated fair value of C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc. (CHRW) is $170.15. This is calculated by blending PEG-Based EPS, FCF 2-Stage DCF, EV/EBITDA and applying a quality premium of 0% based on the company's fundamentals. The confidence level of this estimate is medium.
Is CHRW a buy, sell, or hold?
CHRW currently has a BUY rating with a conviction score of 10/10. Good opportunity: Solid company with good risk/reward at 10.0:1. Quantitative score: high.
Is CHRW a high-quality stock?
C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc. has a quality grade of A (110/120 points), rated as Investable. Key metrics include ROE of 27.3%, ROIC-WACC spread of 12.4%, and D/E ratio of 0.9x.
What type of stock is CHRW?
CHRW is classified as a "compounder" in our framework. High P/E: 35.1x, Low dividend (reinvesting): 1.4%, Mature growth: -11.8%, Cyclical sector: Industrials, Dividend paying: 1.4%
What do Wall Street analysts say about CHRW?
24 Wall Street analysts have a consensus price target of $201.00 for CHRW, representing +16.0% upside. Targets range from $90.00 to $230.00. The consensus recommendation is "Buy". Our model aligns with Wall Street consensus.
What are the risks of investing in CHRW?
The risk/reward asymmetry ratio for CHRW is 10.00:1, rated as Very Favorable. Excellent asymmetry: >3:1 ratio. Upside significantly outweighs downside. The expected return is +73.6%, with bull case upside of +112.3% and bear case downside of -10.0%.
What is the current trend for CHRW?
CHRW is in a bullish trend. Price ($173.29) is 10.7% above SMA 200 ($156.58). Bullish trend confirmed. The technical score is 78/100.
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Last updated: May 19, 2026 · Framework version 3.7
This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always do your own research before making investment decisions.