DuPont de Nemours, Inc. (DD) Stock Analysis
Score ACyclical · Grade C · Bullish
$47.06
$35.55
-24.5%
6/10
C
Cyclical
Investment Thesis
Good opportunity: Solid company with good risk/reward at 1.7:1.
For New Investors
Quantitative score: high
For Current Holders
Quantitative score: neutral
Buy if
- Price drops 15-20% (improves asymmetry)
- Bull scenario catalysts materialize
- Market-wide correction creates opportunity
Sell if
- Bear scenario triggers occur
- Quality metrics deteriorate (ROIC declining)
- Better alternatives emerge
Valuation
Fair Value estimate: $35.55 (-24.5%). Overvalued vs fundamentals. (Methods diverge significantly. Conservative estimate shown.)
PEG-Based EPS
$61.17
FCF DCF Model
$51.74
EV/EBITDA
$13.68
Blended Fair Value
$35.55
Confidence
Low
Methods
PEG-Based EPS (conservative), FCF 2-Stage DCF, EV/EBITDA
Quality Analysis
62/120 points
Investable
ROE (3Y Avg)
-0.3%
ROIC-WACC Spread
-3.7%
D/E Ratio
0.2x
Current Ratio
2.4x
Interest Coverage
3x
FCF Positive Years
3/3
Quality Flags
- Low ROE: -0.3% (need >12%, got 0/20 pts)
- ROIC spread: -3.7pp (got 0/25 pts)
- Leverage: D/E 0.2x (13/15 pts)
- Interest coverage: 2.7x (9/10 pts)
Market Sentiment
Wall Street Consensus
$58.00
+23.3% Upside
15 analysts
Range: $52.00 — $60.00
Rating: Strong Buy
Our model is slightly more cautious than Wall Street.
Trend & Technical
Price ($47.03) is 17.0% above SMA 200 ($40.20). Bullish trend confirmed.
Tech Score 73/100 — Strong technical setup. Trend, momentum, and positioning aligned bullish.
Risk & Reward
Asymmetry Ratio
1.67:1
Expected Return
+8.2%
Bull Upside
+56.4%
Bear Downside
-33.8%
Moderate asymmetry: 1.67:1 ratio. Balanced risk/reward.
Verdict: Neutral
Scenario Analysis
Bear
Base
Bull
Buy Zone & Action Plan
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AI Executive Summary
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Technical Analysis
RSI, MACD, moving averages, trend signals, and momentum indicators.
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Frequently Asked Questions
What is the fair value of DD?
Based on our multi-method conviction analysis, the estimated fair value of DuPont de Nemours, Inc. (DD) is $35.55. This is calculated by blending PEG-Based EPS (conservative), FCF 2-Stage DCF, EV/EBITDA and applying a quality premium of 0% based on the company's fundamentals. The confidence level of this estimate is low.
Is DD a buy, sell, or hold?
DD currently has a BUY rating with a conviction score of 6/10. Good opportunity: Solid company with good risk/reward at 1.7:1. Quantitative score: high.
Is DD a high-quality stock?
DuPont de Nemours, Inc. has a quality grade of C (62/120 points), rated as Investable. Key metrics include ROE of -0.3%, ROIC-WACC spread of -3.7%, and D/E ratio of 0.2x.
What type of stock is DD?
DD is classified as a "cyclical" in our framework. High P/E: 123.8x, Mature growth: -14.3%, High revenue volatility: 22.7% std dev, Cyclical sector: Basic Materials, Dividend paying: 2.0%
What do Wall Street analysts say about DD?
15 Wall Street analysts have a consensus price target of $58.00 for DD, representing +23.3% upside. Targets range from $52.00 to $60.00. The consensus recommendation is "Strong Buy". Our model is slightly more cautious than Wall Street.
What are the risks of investing in DD?
The risk/reward asymmetry ratio for DD is 1.67:1, rated as Neutral. Moderate asymmetry: 1.67:1 ratio. Balanced risk/reward. The expected return is +8.2%, with bull case upside of +56.4% and bear case downside of -33.8%.
What is the current trend for DD?
DD is in a bullish trend. Price ($47.03) is 17.0% above SMA 200 ($40.20). Bullish trend confirmed. The technical score is 73/100.
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Last updated: May 19, 2026 · Framework version 3.7
This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always do your own research before making investment decisions.