Consolidated Edison, Inc. (ED) Stock Analysis
Score DValue · Grade D · Unknown
$108.14
$80.93
-25.2%
1/10
D
Value
Investment Thesis
Low quantitative score: Low quality, stretched valuation, or poor risk/reward.
For New Investors
Quantitative score: weak
For Current Holders
Quantitative score: low
Buy if
- Price drops 15-20% (improves asymmetry)
- Bull scenario catalysts materialize
- Market-wide correction creates opportunity
Sell if
- Bear scenario triggers occur
- Quality metrics deteriorate (ROIC declining)
- Better alternatives emerge
Valuation
Fair Value estimate: $80.93 (-25.2%). Overvalued vs fundamentals. (Methods diverge significantly. Conservative estimate shown.)
PEG-Based EPS
$88.54
FCF DCF Model
$3.15
EV/EBITDA
$89.60
Blended Fair Value
$80.93
Confidence
Low
Methods
PEG-Based EPS (conservative), FCF 2-Stage DCF, EV/EBITDA
Quality Analysis
58/120 points
Low Quality
ROE (3Y Avg)
9.5%
ROIC-WACC Spread
-2.0%
D/E Ratio
1.2x
Current Ratio
1.0x
Interest Coverage
2x
FCF Positive Years
1/3
Quality Flags
- ROIC spread: -2.0pp (got 0/25 pts)
- FCF positive only 1/3 years (7/20 pts)
- Leverage: D/E 1.2x (9/15 pts)
- Interest coverage: 2.4x (7/10 pts)
Market Sentiment
Wall Street Consensus
$110.00
+1.7% Upside
16 analysts
Range: $97.00 — $118.00
Rating: Hold
Our model is more cautious than Wall Street.
Trend & Technical
Insufficient data to calculate SMA 200.
Technical analysis unavailable
Risk & Reward
Asymmetry Ratio
4.77:1
Expected Return
+14.7%
Bull Upside
+43.3%
Bear Downside
-9.1%
Excellent asymmetry: 4.77:1 ratio. Upside significantly outweighs downside.
Verdict: Very Favorable
Scenario Analysis
Bear
Base
Bull
Buy Zone & Action Plan
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AI Executive Summary
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Technical Analysis
RSI, MACD, moving averages, trend signals, and momentum indicators.
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Frequently Asked Questions
What is the fair value of ED?
Based on our multi-method conviction analysis, the estimated fair value of Consolidated Edison, Inc. (ED) is $80.93. This is calculated by blending PEG-Based EPS (conservative), FCF 2-Stage DCF, EV/EBITDA and applying a quality premium of 0% based on the company's fundamentals. The confidence level of this estimate is low.
Is ED a buy, sell, or hold?
ED currently has a AVOID rating with a conviction score of 1/10. Low quantitative score: Low quality, stretched valuation, or poor risk/reward. Quantitative score: weak.
Is ED a high-quality stock?
Consolidated Edison, Inc. has a quality grade of D (58/120 points), rated as Low Quality. Key metrics include ROE of 9.5%, ROIC-WACC spread of -2.0%, and D/E ratio of 1.2x.
What type of stock is ED?
ED is classified as a "value" in our framework. High dividend: 3.2%, Mature growth: 2.3%, Dividend paying: 3.2%
What do Wall Street analysts say about ED?
16 Wall Street analysts have a consensus price target of $110.00 for ED, representing +1.7% upside. Targets range from $97.00 to $118.00. The consensus recommendation is "Hold". Our model is more cautious than Wall Street.
What are the risks of investing in ED?
The risk/reward asymmetry ratio for ED is 4.77:1, rated as Very Favorable. Excellent asymmetry: 4.77:1 ratio. Upside significantly outweighs downside. The expected return is +14.7%, with bull case upside of +43.3% and bear case downside of -9.1%.
What is the current trend for ED?
ED is in a unknown trend. Insufficient data to calculate SMA 200. The technical score is —/100.
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Last updated: May 19, 2026 · Framework version 3.7
This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always do your own research before making investment decisions.