Nordson Corporation (NDSN) Stock Analysis
Score BCompounder · Grade B · Bullish
$273.59
$308.99
+12.9%
8/10
B
Compounder
Investment Thesis
Price is above modeled value range. Quality supports holding but not attractive for new positions.
No strong signal in either direction.
For New Investors
Price above modeled value range
For Current Holders
Quantitative score: neutral
Buy if
- Price drops 15-20% (improves asymmetry)
- Bull scenario catalysts materialize
- Market-wide correction creates opportunity
Sell if
- Bear scenario triggers occur
- Quality metrics deteriorate (ROIC declining)
- Better alternatives emerge
Valuation
Fair Value estimate: $308.99 (+12.9%). Slightly undervalued.
PEG-Based EPS
$355.67
FCF DCF Model
$316.98
EV/EBITDA
$292.14
Blended Fair Value
$308.99
Confidence
High
Methods
PEG-Based EPS, FCF 2-Stage DCF, EV/EBITDA
Quality Analysis
84/120 points
Investable
ROE (3Y Avg)
16.9%
ROIC-WACC Spread
3.4%
D/E Ratio
0.7x
Current Ratio
1.6x
Interest Coverage
7x
FCF Positive Years
3/3
Quality Flags
- ROIC spread: 3.4pp (got 8/25 pts)
- Leverage: D/E 0.7x (11/15 pts)
Market Sentiment
Wall Street Consensus
$319.50
+16.8% Upside
8 analysts
Range: $270.00 — $335.00
Rating: none
Our model aligns with Wall Street consensus.
Trend & Technical
Price ($273.98) is 9.2% above SMA 200 ($250.84). Bullish trend confirmed.
Tech Score 66/100 — Neutral technical picture. Mixed signals across indicators.
Risk & Reward
Asymmetry Ratio
3.46:1
Expected Return
+12.3%
Bull Upside
+33.0%
Bear Downside
-9.5%
Excellent asymmetry: 3.46:1 ratio. Upside significantly outweighs downside.
Verdict: Very Favorable
Scenario Analysis
Bear
Base
Bull
Buy Zone & Action Plan
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AI Executive Summary
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Technical Analysis
RSI, MACD, moving averages, trend signals, and momentum indicators.
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Frequently Asked Questions
What is the fair value of NDSN?
Based on our multi-method conviction analysis, the estimated fair value of Nordson Corporation (NDSN) is $308.99. This is calculated by blending PEG-Based EPS, FCF 2-Stage DCF, EV/EBITDA and applying a quality premium of 0% based on the company's fundamentals. The confidence level of this estimate is high.
Is NDSN a buy, sell, or hold?
NDSN currently has a HOLD rating with a conviction score of 8/10. Price is above modeled value range. Quality supports holding but not attractive for new positions. Price above modeled value range.
Is NDSN a high-quality stock?
Nordson Corporation has a quality grade of B (84/120 points), rated as Investable. Key metrics include ROE of 16.9%, ROIC-WACC spread of 3.4%, and D/E ratio of 0.7x.
What type of stock is NDSN?
NDSN is classified as a "compounder" in our framework. High P/E: 29.6x, Low dividend (reinvesting): 1.2%, Mature growth: 3.1%, Cyclical sector: Industrials, Dividend paying: 1.2%
What do Wall Street analysts say about NDSN?
8 Wall Street analysts have a consensus price target of $319.50 for NDSN, representing +16.8% upside. Targets range from $270.00 to $335.00. The consensus recommendation is "none". Our model aligns with Wall Street consensus.
What are the risks of investing in NDSN?
The risk/reward asymmetry ratio for NDSN is 3.46:1, rated as Very Favorable. Excellent asymmetry: 3.46:1 ratio. Upside significantly outweighs downside. The expected return is +12.3%, with bull case upside of +33.0% and bear case downside of -9.5%.
What is the current trend for NDSN?
NDSN is in a bullish trend. Price ($273.98) is 9.2% above SMA 200 ($250.84). Bullish trend confirmed. The technical score is 66/100.
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Last updated: May 19, 2026 · Framework version 3.7
This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always do your own research before making investment decisions.