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NetApp, Inc. (NTAP) Stock Analysis

Score A+

Compounder · Grade A · Unknown

Technology · Software - Infrastructure

$120.98

Fair Value

$157.27

+30.0%

Conviction

10/10

Quality

A

Classification

Compounder

Investment Thesis

High quantitative score: Solid company with strong risk/reward at 10.0:1.

For New Investors

Quantitative score: high

For Current Holders

Quantitative score: neutral

Buy if

  • Price drops 15-20% (improves asymmetry)
  • Bull scenario catalysts materialize
  • Market-wide correction creates opportunity

Sell if

  • Bear scenario triggers occur
  • Quality metrics deteriorate (ROIC declining)
  • Better alternatives emerge

Valuation

Fair Value estimate: $157.27 (+30.0%). Significantly undervalued.

PEG-Based EPS

$157.27

FCF DCF Model

$157.27

EV/EBITDA

$157.27

Blended Fair Value

$157.27

Confidence

High

Methods

PEG-Based EPS, FCF 2-Stage DCF, EV/EBITDA

Quality Analysis

A

100/120 points

Investable

ROE (3Y Avg)

103.3%

ROIC-WACC Spread

15.2%

D/E Ratio

3.4x

Current Ratio

1.3x

Interest Coverage

21x

FCF Positive Years

3/3

Quality Flags

  • Leverage: D/E 3.4x (0/15 pts)

Market Sentiment

Wall Street Consensus

$124.00

+2.5% Upside

15 analysts

Range: $89.00$137.00

Rating: Buy

Our model is slightly more bullish than Wall Street.

Trend & Technical

Unknown

Insufficient data to calculate SMA 200.

Technical Score0/100

Technical analysis unavailable

Risk & Reward

Asymmetry Ratio

10.00:1

Expected Return

+54.5%

Bull Upside

+119.4%

Bear Downside

-10.0%

Excellent asymmetry: >3:1 ratio. Upside significantly outweighs downside.

Verdict: Very Favorable

Scenario Analysis

Bear

Base

Bull

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Technical Analysis

RSI, MACD, moving averages, trend signals, and momentum indicators.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is the fair value of NTAP?

Based on our multi-method conviction analysis, the estimated fair value of NetApp, Inc. (NTAP) is $157.27. This is calculated by blending PEG-Based EPS, FCF 2-Stage DCF, EV/EBITDA and applying a quality premium of 0% based on the company's fundamentals. The confidence level of this estimate is high.

Is NTAP a buy, sell, or hold?

NTAP currently has a STRONG_BUY rating with a conviction score of 10/10. High quantitative score: Solid company with strong risk/reward at 10.0:1. Quantitative score: high.

Is NTAP a high-quality stock?

NetApp, Inc. has a quality grade of A (100/120 points), rated as Investable. Key metrics include ROE of 103.3%, ROIC-WACC spread of 15.2%, and D/E ratio of 3.4x.

What type of stock is NTAP?

NTAP is classified as a "compounder" in our framework. Low dividend (reinvesting): 1.7%, Mature growth: 4.4%, High debt: D/E 3.4x, Dividend paying: 1.7%, High ROE (compounder): 116.6%

What do Wall Street analysts say about NTAP?

15 Wall Street analysts have a consensus price target of $124.00 for NTAP, representing +2.5% upside. Targets range from $89.00 to $137.00. The consensus recommendation is "Buy". Our model is slightly more bullish than Wall Street.

What are the risks of investing in NTAP?

The risk/reward asymmetry ratio for NTAP is 10.00:1, rated as Very Favorable. Excellent asymmetry: >3:1 ratio. Upside significantly outweighs downside. The expected return is +54.5%, with bull case upside of +119.4% and bear case downside of -10.0%.

What is the current trend for NTAP?

NTAP is in a unknown trend. Insufficient data to calculate SMA 200. The technical score is —/100.

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Last updated: May 19, 2026 · Framework version 3.7

This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always do your own research before making investment decisions.