The Goldman Sachs Group, Inc. (GS) Stock Analysis
Score BFinancial · Grade C · Unknown
$925.87
$663.64
-28.3%
6/10
C
Financial
Investment Thesis
Price is above modeled value range. Quality supports holding but not attractive for new positions.
Trading above fair value.
For New Investors
Price above modeled value range
For Current Holders
Quantitative score: neutral
Buy if
- Price drops 15-20% (improves asymmetry)
- Bull scenario catalysts materialize
- Market-wide correction creates opportunity
Sell if
- Bear scenario triggers occur
- Quality metrics deteriorate (ROIC declining)
- Better alternatives emerge
Valuation
Fair Value estimate: $663.64 (-28.3%). Overvalued vs fundamentals.
PEG-Based EPS
$797.29
FCF DCF Model
$576.72
Blended Fair Value
$663.64
Confidence
High
Methods
P/B Relative, P/E Relative, Dividend Discount
Quality Analysis
70/120 points
Investable
ROE (3Y Avg)
10.9%
ROIC-WACC Spread
-7.7%
D/E Ratio
4.9x
Current Ratio
0.8x
Interest Coverage
0x
FCF Positive Years
0/3
Quality Flags
- Financial sector: alternative quality assessment applied
- Strong ROE: 10.9%
- Limited revenue history
- Low profitability margins
- Earnings declining
Market Sentiment
Wall Street Consensus
$1,048.00
+13.2% Upside
20 analysts
Range: $604.00 — $1,100.00
Rating: Hold
Our model aligns with Wall Street consensus.
Trend & Technical
Insufficient data to calculate SMA 200.
Technical analysis unavailable
Risk & Reward
Asymmetry Ratio
10.00:1
Expected Return
+65.7%
Bull Upside
+112.9%
Bear Downside
-10.0%
Excellent asymmetry: >3:1 ratio. Upside significantly outweighs downside.
Verdict: Very Favorable
Scenario Analysis
Bear
Base
Bull
Buy Zone & Action Plan
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AI Executive Summary
Get a detailed AI-written breakdown of the investment thesis, risks, and catalysts.
Technical Analysis
RSI, MACD, moving averages, trend signals, and momentum indicators.
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Frequently Asked Questions
What is the fair value of GS?
Based on our multi-method conviction analysis, the estimated fair value of The Goldman Sachs Group, Inc. (GS) is $663.64. This is calculated by blending P/B Relative, P/E Relative, Dividend Discount and applying a quality premium of 0% based on the company's fundamentals. The confidence level of this estimate is high.
Is GS a buy, sell, or hold?
GS currently has a HOLD rating with a conviction score of 6/10. Price is above modeled value range. Quality supports holding but not attractive for new positions. Price above modeled value range.
Is GS a high-quality stock?
The Goldman Sachs Group, Inc. has a quality grade of C (70/120 points), rated as Investable. Key metrics include ROE of 10.9%, ROIC-WACC spread of -7.7%, and D/E ratio of 4.9x.
What type of stock is GS?
GS is classified as a "financial" in our framework. Financial sector override: Financial Services
What do Wall Street analysts say about GS?
20 Wall Street analysts have a consensus price target of $1,048.00 for GS, representing +13.2% upside. Targets range from $604.00 to $1,100.00. The consensus recommendation is "Hold". Our model aligns with Wall Street consensus.
What are the risks of investing in GS?
The risk/reward asymmetry ratio for GS is 10.00:1, rated as Very Favorable. Excellent asymmetry: >3:1 ratio. Upside significantly outweighs downside. The expected return is +65.7%, with bull case upside of +112.9% and bear case downside of -10.0%.
What is the current trend for GS?
GS is in a unknown trend. Insufficient data to calculate SMA 200. The technical score is —/100.
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Last updated: May 8, 2026 · Framework version 3.7
This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always do your own research before making investment decisions.