Iron Mountain Incorporated (IRM) Stock Analysis
Score DReit · Grade D · Bullish
$124.22
$66.23
-46.7%
0/10
D
Reit
Investment Thesis
Low quantitative score: Low quality, stretched valuation, or poor risk/reward.
For New Investors
Quantitative score: weak
For Current Holders
Quantitative score: low
Buy if
- Price drops 15-20% (improves asymmetry)
- Bull scenario catalysts materialize
- Market-wide correction creates opportunity
Sell if
- Bear scenario triggers occur
- Quality metrics deteriorate (ROIC declining)
- Better alternatives emerge
Valuation
REIT Fair Value: $66.23 (-46.7%). FFO/share: $3.96, P/FFO: 31.4x vs sector avg 16.0x.
PEG-Based EPS
$63.32
FCF DCF Model
$70.60
Blended Fair Value
$66.23
Methods
REIT P/FFO Relative, REIT Dividend Discount
Quality Analysis
56/120 points
Low Quality REIT
Quality Flags
- REIT quality screen: FFO-based metrics used instead of standard ROE/ROIC/D/E
- FFO declining: -3.4%/yr
- No dividend data available
Market Sentiment
Wall Street Consensus
$130.00
+4.7% Upside
11 analysts
Range: $127.00 — $140.00
Rating: Buy
Our model is more cautious than Wall Street.
Trend & Technical
Price ($124.39) is 26.0% above SMA 200 ($98.73). Bullish trend confirmed.
Tech Score 78/100 — Strong technical setup. Trend, momentum, and positioning aligned bullish.
Risk & Reward
Asymmetry Ratio
3.86:1
Expected Return
+13.7%
Bull Upside
+38.6%
Bear Downside
-10.0%
Excellent asymmetry: 3.86:1 ratio. Upside significantly outweighs downside.
Verdict: Very Favorable
Scenario Analysis
Bear
Base
Bull
Buy Zone & Action Plan
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AI Executive Summary
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Technical Analysis
RSI, MACD, moving averages, trend signals, and momentum indicators.
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Frequently Asked Questions
What is the fair value of IRM?
Based on our multi-method conviction analysis, the estimated fair value of Iron Mountain Incorporated (IRM) is $66.23. This is calculated by blending REIT P/FFO Relative, REIT Dividend Discount and applying a quality premium of 0% based on the company's fundamentals. The confidence level of this estimate is moderate.
Is IRM a buy, sell, or hold?
IRM currently has a AVOID rating with a conviction score of 0/10. Low quantitative score: Low quality, stretched valuation, or poor risk/reward. Quantitative score: weak.
Is IRM a high-quality stock?
Iron Mountain Incorporated has a quality grade of D (56/120 points), rated as Low Quality REIT. Key metrics include ROE of —%, ROIC-WACC spread of —%, and D/E ratio of —x.
What type of stock is IRM?
IRM is classified as a "reit" in our framework. REIT classification: Real Estate / REIT - Specialty
What do Wall Street analysts say about IRM?
11 Wall Street analysts have a consensus price target of $130.00 for IRM, representing +4.7% upside. Targets range from $127.00 to $140.00. The consensus recommendation is "Buy". Our model is more cautious than Wall Street.
What are the risks of investing in IRM?
The risk/reward asymmetry ratio for IRM is 3.86:1, rated as Very Favorable. Excellent asymmetry: 3.86:1 ratio. Upside significantly outweighs downside. The expected return is +13.7%, with bull case upside of +38.6% and bear case downside of -10.0%.
What is the current trend for IRM?
IRM is in a bullish trend. Price ($124.39) is 26.0% above SMA 200 ($98.73). Bullish trend confirmed. The technical score is 78/100.
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Last updated: May 19, 2026 · Framework version 3.7
This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always do your own research before making investment decisions.