J.B. Hunt Transport Services, Inc. (JBHT) Stock Analysis
Score AGrowth · Grade C · Bullish
$259.01
$325.62
+25.7%
10/10
C
Growth
Investment Thesis
Good opportunity: Solid company with good risk/reward at 6.0:1.
For New Investors
Quantitative score: high
For Current Holders
Quantitative score: neutral
Buy if
- Price drops 15-20% (improves asymmetry)
- Bull scenario catalysts materialize
- Market-wide correction creates opportunity
Sell if
- Bear scenario triggers occur
- Quality metrics deteriorate (ROIC declining)
- Better alternatives emerge
Valuation
Fair Value estimate: $325.62 (+25.7%). Significantly undervalued.
PEG-Based EPS
$336.71
FCF DCF Model
$336.71
EV/EBITDA
$336.71
Blended Fair Value
$325.62
Confidence
High
Methods
PEG-Based EPS, FCF 2-Stage DCF, EV/EBITDA
Quality Analysis
62/120 points
Investable
ROE (3Y Avg)
16.3%
ROIC-WACC Spread
2.0%
D/E Ratio
0.5x
Current Ratio
0.8x
Interest Coverage
12x
FCF Positive Years
2/3
Quality Flags
- ROIC spread: 2.0pp (got 5/25 pts)
- FCF positive only 2/3 years (13/20 pts)
- Leverage: D/E 0.5x (12/15 pts)
- Liquidity: Current Ratio 0.83 (7/10 pts)
Market Sentiment
Wall Street Consensus
$230.00
-11.2% Upside
22 analysts
Range: $180.00 — $285.00
Rating: Buy
Our model aligns with Wall Street consensus.
Trend & Technical
Price ($258.02) is 36.6% above SMA 200 ($188.88). Bullish trend confirmed.
Tech Score 90/100 — MOMENTUM ALIGNMENT. Healthy uptrend confirmed by RSI and MACD. Technical tailwind.
Risk & Reward
Asymmetry Ratio
5.96:1
Expected Return
+26.4%
Bull Upside
+72.9%
Bear Downside
-12.2%
Excellent asymmetry: 5.96:1 ratio. Upside significantly outweighs downside.
Verdict: Very Favorable
Scenario Analysis
Bear
Base
Bull
Buy Zone & Action Plan
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AI Executive Summary
Get a detailed AI-written breakdown of the investment thesis, risks, and catalysts.
Technical Analysis
RSI, MACD, moving averages, trend signals, and momentum indicators.
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Frequently Asked Questions
What is the fair value of JBHT?
Based on our multi-method conviction analysis, the estimated fair value of J.B. Hunt Transport Services, Inc. (JBHT) is $325.62. This is calculated by blending PEG-Based EPS, FCF 2-Stage DCF, EV/EBITDA and applying a quality premium of 0% based on the company's fundamentals. The confidence level of this estimate is high.
Is JBHT a buy, sell, or hold?
JBHT currently has a BUY rating with a conviction score of 10/10. Good opportunity: Solid company with good risk/reward at 6.0:1. Quantitative score: high.
Is JBHT a high-quality stock?
J.B. Hunt Transport Services, Inc. has a quality grade of C (62/120 points), rated as Investable. Key metrics include ROE of 16.3%, ROIC-WACC spread of 2.0%, and D/E ratio of 0.5x.
What type of stock is JBHT?
JBHT is classified as a "growth" in our framework. High P/E: 40.1x, Low dividend (reinvesting): 0.7%, Mature growth: -4.8%, Cyclical sector: Industrials, Strong ROE: 17.3%
What do Wall Street analysts say about JBHT?
22 Wall Street analysts have a consensus price target of $230.00 for JBHT, representing -11.2% upside. Targets range from $180.00 to $285.00. The consensus recommendation is "Buy". Our model aligns with Wall Street consensus.
What are the risks of investing in JBHT?
The risk/reward asymmetry ratio for JBHT is 5.96:1, rated as Very Favorable. Excellent asymmetry: 5.96:1 ratio. Upside significantly outweighs downside. The expected return is +26.4%, with bull case upside of +72.9% and bear case downside of -12.2%.
What is the current trend for JBHT?
JBHT is in a bullish trend. Price ($258.02) is 36.6% above SMA 200 ($188.88). Bullish trend confirmed. The technical score is 90/100.
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Last updated: May 19, 2026 · Framework version 3.7
This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always do your own research before making investment decisions.