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Worthington Industries, Inc. (WOR) Stock Analysis

Score A

Growth · Grade C · Bullish

Industrials · Metal Fabrication

$59.68

Fair Value

$77.58

+30.0%

Conviction

10/10

Quality

C

Classification

Growth

Investment Thesis

Good opportunity: Solid company with good risk/reward at 10.0:1.

For New Investors

Quantitative score: high

For Current Holders

Quantitative score: neutral

Buy if

  • Price drops 15-20% (improves asymmetry)
  • Bull scenario catalysts materialize
  • Market-wide correction creates opportunity

Sell if

  • Bear scenario triggers occur
  • Quality metrics deteriorate (ROIC declining)
  • Better alternatives emerge

Valuation

Fair Value estimate: $77.58 (+30.0%). Significantly undervalued.

PEG-Based EPS

$77.58

FCF DCF Model

$77.58

EV/EBITDA

$77.58

Blended Fair Value

$77.58

Confidence

High

Methods

PEG-Based EPS, FCF 2-Stage DCF, EV/EBITDA

Quality Analysis

C

65/120 points

Investable

ROE (3Y Avg)

12.6%

ROIC-WACC Spread

-4.7%

D/E Ratio

0.3x

Current Ratio

3.5x

Interest Coverage

22x

FCF Positive Years

3/3

Quality Flags

  • Low ROE: 12.6% (need >14%, got 17/20 pts)
  • ROIC spread: -4.7pp (got 0/25 pts)
  • Leverage: D/E 0.3x (13/15 pts)
  • Volatile gross margins: std dev 6.2pp (need <5.0pp)

Market Sentiment

Wall Street Consensus

$67.00

+12.3% Upside

5 analysts

Range: $65.00$69.00

Rating: none

Our model is slightly more bullish than Wall Street.

Trend & Technical

Bullish

Price ($59.68) is 8.0% above SMA 200 ($55.24). Bullish trend confirmed.

Technical Score95/100

Tech Score 95/100 — MOMENTUM ALIGNMENT. Healthy uptrend confirmed by RSI and MACD. Technical tailwind.

Risk & Reward

Asymmetry Ratio

10.00:1

Expected Return

+53.2%

Bull Upside

+126.8%

Bear Downside

-10.0%

Excellent asymmetry: >3:1 ratio. Upside significantly outweighs downside.

Verdict: Very Favorable

Scenario Analysis

Bear

Base

Bull

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is the fair value of WOR?

Based on our multi-method conviction analysis, the estimated fair value of Worthington Industries, Inc. (WOR) is $77.58. This is calculated by blending PEG-Based EPS, FCF 2-Stage DCF, EV/EBITDA and applying a quality premium of 0% based on the company's fundamentals. The confidence level of this estimate is high.

Is WOR a buy, sell, or hold?

WOR currently has a BUY rating with a conviction score of 10/10. Good opportunity: Solid company with good risk/reward at 10.0:1. Quantitative score: high.

Is WOR a high-quality stock?

Worthington Industries, Inc. has a quality grade of C (65/120 points), rated as Investable. Key metrics include ROE of 12.6%, ROIC-WACC spread of -4.7%, and D/E ratio of 0.3x.

What type of stock is WOR?

WOR is classified as a "growth" in our framework. High P/E: 180.8x, Low dividend (reinvesting): 1.3%, Mature growth: -39.4%, High revenue volatility: 56.6% std dev, Cyclical sector: Industrials

What do Wall Street analysts say about WOR?

5 Wall Street analysts have a consensus price target of $67.00 for WOR, representing +12.3% upside. Targets range from $65.00 to $69.00. The consensus recommendation is "none". Our model is slightly more bullish than Wall Street.

What are the risks of investing in WOR?

The risk/reward asymmetry ratio for WOR is 10.00:1, rated as Very Favorable. Excellent asymmetry: >3:1 ratio. Upside significantly outweighs downside. The expected return is +53.2%, with bull case upside of +126.8% and bear case downside of -10.0%.

What is the current trend for WOR?

WOR is in a bullish trend. Price ($59.68) is 8.0% above SMA 200 ($55.24). Bullish trend confirmed. The technical score is 95/100.

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Last updated: June 15, 2026 · Framework version 3.7

This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always do your own research before making investment decisions.